@t_b_williams I've done many calculations with the data. When using everyone in the calculations of averages Bruce gets an expected fastest lap of 1:12.072 and a expected total race time of 30:59.509. I then used only those who's fastest lap was less than 0.99 of their season fastest lap which left a sample size of 7. This gave Bruce an expected fastest lap of 1:11.742. I then assumed Bruce would have the most perfect race so used the lowest value of everyones Actual total time (minus handicap) divided by their theoretical total time (FL*25) which was MINT and Mustafur with 1.014 as a reference razors was 1.019. With these numbers Bruce's expected total time is 30:19.181 without factoring in the div 5 18s handicap and 30:37.181 when you do. So even when using the most favourable numbers Razor would still win by 2.727 seconds and bruce would place 4th behind Razor, DoogleDave and SmokinScotty.
Last edited: Jul 21, 2014